Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 236.675515 266.979608 300.757116 341.396552 389.227983 444.057769 512.128686
2024-10-13 186.451946 224.691137 271.100428 332.324246 412.105401 514.164729 657.297178
2024-10-20 161.636879 203.217934 256.560897 331.428769 436.151786 581.167657 804.145100
2024-10-27 138.930985 180.050261 234.961122 315.644269 434.728329 610.137452 900.611268
2024-11-03 130.866215 174.756254 235.760075 329.668616 476.216300 706.737851 1120.847905
2024-11-10 125.135075 171.672999 238.752881 346.562621 523.902198 821.197301 1400.596641
2024-11-17 116.039992 162.578876 231.604283 346.422577 543.551128 891.979533 1620.116978
2024-11-24 106.226221 151.371561 219.898672 337.151716 545.770141 931.451003 1787.963037
2024-12-01 97.964017 141.740332 209.595078 328.731927 547.819762 970.356710 1965.358974
2024-12-08 94.308733 138.899550 209.736660 337.978876 583.378245 1081.849123 2345.487576
2024-12-15 89.545644 133.854947 205.711179 339.223652 603.600906 1165.591838 2688.110280
2024-12-22 84.104598 127.267358 198.469325 333.671481 609.256915 1218.414234 2968.163533
2024-12-29 79.909907 122.569474 194.292125 333.849563 627.833121 1307.672100 3400.641437
2025-01-05 74.639750 115.708058 185.796457 324.844019 625.600103 1347.190623 3701.268959
2025-01-12 71.096444 111.528536 181.697608 323.987052 641.184396 1435.401750 4211.069335
2025-01-19 65.837792 104.030224 170.997793 308.645349 621.325525 1425.636527 4364.427400
2025-01-26 64.929869 104.091810 174.191528 322.275788 671.865159 1622.938998 5443.954605
2025-02-02 64.370101 104.714577 178.460915 338.689420 732.430663 1869.492480 6943.844930
2025-02-09 61.860081 101.619893 175.327897 338.553384 750.859773 1992.313255 7970.865236
2025-02-16 58.543672 96.841614 168.554963 329.546874 744.392846 2032.331400 8600.378768
2025-02-23 55.560335 92.521014 162.401482 321.365545 739.018347 2075.420445 9295.734505
2025-03-02 54.573976 91.890677 163.589331 330.350524 783.164010 2309.447965 11446.524668
2025-03-09 52.863321 89.776856 161.593844 331.559892 805.276358 2470.407855 13330.955648